Friday 7 December 2007

Too late for Prof. Chirwa?

My last article on the presidential ambitions of Prof. Clive Chirwa hinted that the MMD constitution may have a minimum membership requirement. Ben Tetamashimba has confirmed this in the POST today.

“But my question is that, where was Prof Chirwa to join MMD now when the party has branches in London? Now that he has seen positive developments in MMD by President Mwanawasa, he thinks it’s time to lead the country. Of course, that is possible but let him hope that our convention is held after September 2010. But if it is held before that time, Prof Chirwa will not be allowed to contest for MMD presidency,” Tetamashimba said.He said the MMD constitution stated that any member, who had served the party for less than three years, was not eligible to vie for party presidency.“Since Prof Chirwa joined MMD in September this year, he will attain three years in September 2010. But for other positions such as at council and parliamentary levels, there is no problem because the constitution allows,” he said.

The history of the MMD tells us that the constitution can easily be changed to suit the prevailing political situation. FTJ managed to change it to enable him go a third term and also removed the requirement of the President of the MMD to automatically become the MMD's candidate in the presidential election. The key person in all this is dr. Mwanawasa. If he wants Clive to run, he will change the constitution. However, he can end Prof. Chirwa's presidential ambitions by calling for the convention to be held before September 2010 under the pretence of giving his successor more time to campaign.

The PANEL.

Wednesday 28 November 2007

Prof. Chirwa for President?

The POST reported this week that Prof. Clive Chirwa has announced his intention to contest both the MMD and republican presidency.

I think the best analysis of the situation is contained in an article by Dr. Neo Simutayi in the POST 26/11/2007. Here is a section of the article...


In case Clive Chirwa does not know, announcing one’s intention to contest the top job is not something that is taken lightly in Africa. Incumbents feel threatened to have individuals they have not anointed to succeed them or to be faced with a prospect of losing political authority and influence to a new contender. The MMD has in effect prohibited any canvassing for the party presidency citing fears that the party may be divided ahead of the national convention.As expected the early reactions to Chirwa’s intentions were quick and confrontational. A senior MMD official and government minister Lameck Mangani said Prof Chirwa should expect to be bruised if he dares contest the party presidency. He said the MMD did not know Prof. Chirwa both at national and provincial levels.Mangani said that: ‘We have a structure to follow in MMD. You do not just come from nowhere and say I want to become the party president and later lead the nation.’ Chirwa should expect more reactions from the MMD’s rank and file in the months to come. People who have invested their political fortunes in the MMD would not want to see their ambitions curtailed by someone they consider an outsider.

I have been thinking about this issue for a number of days and wondering what options are open to Prof. Chirwa. One of him main disadvantage is lack of recognition within the MMD and the country as a whole. Very few people knew who Clive Chirwa was until his PR machine (run by the POST) swung into action with a series of carefully planned interviews and public appearances. To stand a chance of realising his goals, the machine needs to be cranked up to a higher gear. The MMD scrap heap is full of men and women of potential who could not advance to the high positions in the party because they did not have a following within the party. These followers need to be made up of people with a variety of backgrounds to help sell the vision of the candidate for the country and the party.

However, the greatest obstacle he will face could be the current President himself. The President has indicated that he has someone in mind to succeed him as MMD and Republican president. I doubt whether this person is Clive Chirwa. Would the President and MMD cadres take kindly to Clive standing against a candidate anointed by dr. Mwanawasa? The MMD cadres would simply shut the gates to the convention centre and give him the same treatment accorded to Gen Miyanda and co during the infamous 3rd term debate. One also wonders how the likes of Katele Kalumba, Mabenga, Shikapwashya, Kabinga Pande and the other long standing members of the MMD with ambitions for high office would also react to the Clive's candidature. While I welcome Clive's intention to serve the country, I just feel he faces an uphill battle because the MMD as a party will not welcome his 'intrusion'.

The PANEL.

Have we become tolerant of corruption?

It will be difficult to fight corruption for as long as Zambians continue to eulogise criminality, Public Accounts Committee (PAC) chairperson Charles Milupi has observed.

“The problem is that we have a culture of eulogising criminality. If we had a different culture, that would be a major step in fighting corruption,” Milupi said. “We have clerks building mansions and we tolerate them even when we see that their wealth is ill-gotten.Instead of questioning how they acquired that wealth, we say ‘ebaume aba’ (these are great men). We have allowed laws to fall by the roadside which has led to a ‘Sangwapo’ kind of situation.” POST 21/11/2007


Mr. Milupi goes on to quote examples from the latest Auditor-General’s report
“a cashier at the Zambia Police Headquarters who misappropriated K1 billion and another officer at the Immigration Department who misappropriated K855 million”


“ the Ministry of Communications and Transport had the worst record, as 30 per cent of its total revenue collections for the year under review, amounting to K5.5 billion, was misappropriated.”
“K15.4 billion was reported as misapplied in the 19 ministries and spending agencies in 2005.”“Under the Office of the President, Southern Province provincial administration, K1.67 billion (94 per cent) of the K1.78 billion meant for cattle restocking, was misapplied”
“Amounts totalling K6.3 billion were not banked on time in 2005. Of this amount, 43 per cent was ascribed to the Ministry of Communications and Transport.”“Zambia Police misappropriated appropriation-in-aid amounting to K167.6 billion in 2005.”
“public funds were also lost on badly managed projects such as the Mbesuma Bridge and Mongu-Kalabo road projects where US$1 million and K112 billion were respectively spent on nothing.”


These incidents are all documented in the latest Auditor-General’s report. No wonder the government has no money to pay decent salaries to its employees and provide public services. There seems to be a culture of allowing officials to loot public funds with impunity!


The PANEL

Tuesday 27 November 2007

Lessons from the Nchanga bye election

It has now been a number of weeks since Mr. Sata's Patriotic Front returned its Nchanga Parliamentary seat despite a massive injection of time and effort by the ruling MMD. The MMD were swift to express their disappointment with the loss.
Many political commentators were actually surprised that the MMD thought they could win this seat mainly because of the way government handled the pollution of the Kafue river by KCM and the general lack of tangible development in the area under the MMD. The MMD's trusted mantra of promising development if people elected an MP from the ruling party did not work this time. What was even surprising was the fact that the President was too busy to campaign on behalf of his candidate.
In addition to the reasons advanced above, I think the MMD lost the seat because:
1. Although the economy is 'booming' the ordinary man or woman is struggling to put food on the table. People feel their lives have not improved as a result of the increased economic activity and blame GRZ and the MMD for this.
2. Defection of the incumbent MP to the MMD: The MMD candidate had been the area MP and just defected to join the MMD which triggered the bye-election. I hope by not voting for the MMD, people finally sent a strong message to the MMD that they will not tolerate these costly and unnecessary bye-elections.
3. The Electorate in Nchanga is informed with access to different sources of news. They are aware of the many bad news stories surrounding the MMD govt and have acted to punish the Govt.
4. The perceived harassment of Mr. Sata did not help the MMD cause. Unless the MMD addresses these issues they will continue losing elections in areas with an informed electorate.

The PANEL

Thursday 27 September 2007

“No Mugabe, No Summit.”

Mr Mwanawasa summed up the position of SADC as “No Mugabe, No Summit.”

I really can't understand why Levy has taken this stance. Mugabe has ground a once thriving economy to a complete standstill and Levy still thinks the man has valuable contributions to make at EU-Africa summit.

The African leaders have time after time wasted opportunities to send a strong message to Mugabe. The South African President has adopted a softly softly approach which has not produced any results.

Excluding Mugabe from the summit would have sent a clear message that his jungle politics do not have a place in a modern society.

The PANEL

Monday 24 September 2007

Picture of Mpombo kneeling before Levy

There is a very humbling picture in the POST (FRIDAY 21st) of George Mpombo kneeling before the President in the VIP lounge at Lusaka International Airport.

What is sad about this picture is that it represents everything that is wrong with our current governance system. The President is still viewed as the king or traditional chief. Why should the Hon. Minister feel the need to kneel when talking to the President? It is embarrassing to the say the least.

The PANEL

Thursday 6 September 2007

Prof. Chirwa and the MMD

I am sure many Zambians would not have heard of Prof. Chirwa before the POST decided to carry a number of articles on him in the last couple of weeks. He has actually been a regular columnist for the POST on motoring issues for sometime now.

The Prof. has been making positive contributions during his visit to Zambia. For instance he offered his services to GRZ to advise on the transport sector and actually requested for an audience with President. The other initiative he launched was the idea of a technology Park in Lusaka with a promise to invest approximately £2M of his own money. All these are noble ideas and worthy causes.

There is a story in the POST today that Prof. Chirwa has now joined the MMD. He is quoted saying he has been impressed by the economic policies of the MMD and the fifth national development plan. A number of people have even started speculating that the man wants to run for presidency. I welcome Prof. Chirwa's decision to join the MMD and make a contribution to the development of our country. It is only by encouraging people of integrity, not career politicians, to enter politics that we can start to change the political scene. It is somehow embarrassing that old timers like Mr. Sata still dominate politics in our country. However, for the Prof. to succeed, he has to be ready to fight the likes of Sata, Katele Kalumba and the other 'founders of the MMD'. Nevers Mumba is a good example of someone who thought he could make a positive contribution by joining the MMD. He was used by Levy to shore up his failing reputation only to be dismissed unceremoniously. The political scene is littered with such casualties. To be successful in Zambian politics one has to understand why people like Sata and Katele always manage to win elections at party conventions while more palatable characters have to rely on presidential appointments. Is it the case that the cadres and general public do not take a long term view and are only interested in instant gratification (a packet of Shake Shake or Chitenge Material)? How does one maintain his integrity by not engaging in these activities but still convince the cadres to vote in his favour?

The PANEL

Tuesday 4 September 2007

Unnecessary and costly bye-elections

“SOME civil society organisations have described the resignation and defection of Nchanga member of Parliament, Charles Chimumbwa, from the Patriotic Front (PF) to the ruling party as an unnecessary drain on public funds. Forum for Democratic Process (FODEP), Anti Voter Apathy (AVAP) and Oasis Forum condemned the resignation on Thursday.” From the Daily Mail 04-09-2007.
I do not wish to explore the issues leading to the honourable MP’s resignation from PF to join the MMD but it is a gross misuse of public resources to force an unnecessary and costly bye-election on the poor taxpayers. The blame lies squarely with the MMD and the President in particular for encouraging opposition MPs to defect to the ruling party. This practice started when Levy appointed a group of opposition MPs to Ministerial positions during his first term. The country simply does not have the resources to waste on these bye-elections. It would be interesting to find out from the Electoral Commission how much each one of these elections costs the govt. One obviously has to factor in the cost of the public resources (cash, vehicles, GRZ time) that will be used by the govt to make sure that the MMD wins the election. I therefore support the sentiments expressed by the civil society.

To discourage this practice, I would like to suggest that the next constitution should have a clause which prohibits seating MPs from re-contesting their seat if they force a bye-elction for the life time of that parliament (i.e. 5 yrs). I do not know whether such a move would be legally sound but we need to do some thing to discourage the MMD’s desire to increase their majority at the taxpayer’s expense.

The PANEL.

Thursday 30 August 2007

Is Zambia a poor country?

I know the answer to the above question is obvious. Of course according to all the internationally agreed metrics for measuring wealth, our country is poor. Many of our country men and women live below the poverty datum line with little or no access to clean running water, medical facilities, housing and decent educational services. The situation has been compounded by the effects of the HIV/AIDS epidemic. Quite a lot of the economically active members of our society have been wiped out by the disease.
Having stated the obvious, it seems to me that if we looked at the country using a different set of metrics, we find that the country actually has a lot of natural and human resources which could be harnessed to improve the wellbeing of our people. For instance, we are constantly reminded that the mining sector is experiencing a boom similar to that of the 1970s. The price of Copper is probably at its highest since the 1990s and there is generally a high demand for base metals. However, the wealth from this activity does not seem to trickle to the common man on the streets. I am not sure my uncle in Kalingalinga or my grandparents in Shangombo have seen any benefit of the boom in the mining industry. I guess the question for GRZ is how to ensure that the general populace benefits from the mining sector without stifling the necessary investment. Perhaps a one-off windfall tax is justified! I am not in anyway advocating re-nationalisation of the mining sector.

There is also a general impression that GRZ does not use the little resources available prudently. This has somehow been proven by the revelations from the GRZ vs FTJ case in London. We are all used to reading about accounting irregularities in govt ministries in the annual Auditor General’s report. Why do we as a people and taxpayers accept a blatant misuse of public funds? This would not be allowed in the mature democratic societies such as the UK and US. It is time we started questioning some of the GRZ expenditures. A number of areas come to mind straight away: (a) Do we need such a larger cabinet? Is it really necessary to have two deputy ministers in certain ministries? (b) The endless conferences, workshops, seminars? They really needed (c) Overseas travel by govt officials. This has proved to be very lucrative for civil servants but no doubt expensive for the country. (d) Perks. Should we really be paying a ministers phone and electricity bill or providing a vehicle for the wife?

Address these issues and the country will be ‘rich’

The PANEL

Levy's legacy

Our current president is in the middle of his second and final term in office. It is at this point in time that most holders of similar postions start addressing the issue of legacy. What are people going to remember about Levy's presidency?
To answer this question one has to look at the legacy of KK and FTJ. KK built the infrastructure and was also a pan-africanist.
FTJ's rule is intersting. He no doubt empowered Zambians to own property and went some way in repairing the country's infrastructure. Privatization of the state owned companies is another one of his achievements. However, his rule is tainted by the fact that he tried to run for a thrid term which polarised the country and his own party (MMD). It is also widely believed that his rule was very corrupt and led to an abuse of public funds.

One would think that the stage was therefore set for Levy to be the man that cleaned up FTJ's mess. Wrong! His anti-corruption drive has only led to the arrest and imprisonment of Richard Sakala. All the other big fish are still free. We can therefore safely say the anti-corruption drive will not provide a strong legacy. What of the thorny issue of the constitution? Levy has once again mismanaged the constitution review process. He has at every stage ignored the will of the people. His arrogance over this issue is beyond belief! What of the low inflation and increased economic activity? The man is simply lucky. I have not seen any evidence to link any of GRZ's policies and intiatives to the low inflation and increased economic activity. This is really being driven by the high price of copper on the world market and the opening up of new mines in N.W province. What happened the oil in Chavuma Levy announced last year.

My guess is that we shall remember Levy as the man who was woken up at night by FTJ and offered the presidency on a silver platter.

The PANEL

Thursday 9 August 2007

The Panel on Zed

I have been looking at starting a blog to discuss issues affecting Zed (Zambia) for a long time now and I am hoping I can kee this going for as long as possible.

The motivation for this is to simply provide an analysis of the news stories and events back.

The PANEL